Prediction of Luis Jose Nakamine vs Bautista Vilicich at M15 Lima 18 Dec 2025

• In their recent performance, Luis Jose Nakamine has won 47.54% of points on their second serve, compared to Bautista Vilicich's 43.53%. Could this edge in second serve success give Nakamine an advantage?
• When it comes to return games, Vilicich excels by winning 50.87% of opponents' second serve points, significantly outperforming Nakamine's 32.43%.
• Looking at first serve returns, Vilicich again takes the lead with a 35.55% success rate over Nakamine's 26.00%. Does this make Vilicich more formidable on the return?
• Both players show a similar ability to save breakpoints under pressure, with Nakamine saving 54.17% and Vilicich 53.33%.
• Nakamine boasts a better match win percentage over the past year at 72.73%, while Vilicich stands at 46.67%. Will this higher win rate impact the upcoming match?
• On clay, both players have a 47% win rate, suggesting no particular surface advantage.
• In the $10K level tournaments, Nakamine holds an 80% win rate compared to Vilicich's 50%. Does Nakamine benefit from higher consistency at this tier?
• Nakamine has competed against higher-ranked opponents, with an average ranking of 139.09, while Vilicich's opponents averaged 390.51.
• Nakamine has shown superior deciding set performance, winning 100% of such sets, whereas Vilicich secured only 35%.
• In recent form, Nakamine's breakpoint conversion is notably high at 66.67%, overshadowing Vilicich’s 36.45%. Will this proficiency in critical moments tilt the scales?

Editorial Prediction (December 18, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the player statistics, Luis Jose Nakamine displays a slight advantage in terms of secondary performance metrics such as second serve points and breakpoint conversions. These factors often carry significant weight during pivotal match moments.

Conversely, Bautista Vilicich shines brightest when returning serves, exemplifying efficacy in both first and second serve return points. This strength could offer crucial breakthroughs, potentially disrupting Nakamine's game rhythm.

Historically, Nakamine has shown greater match-winning consistency and an impressive performance in high-pressure, deciding set situations, displaying a tenacity that bodes well for match perseverance.

Given these insights, Nakamine seems poised to leverage these incremental advantages, potentially steering the match outcome in their favor against Bautista Vilicich.

With these factors in mind, Luis Jose Nakamine appears the more likely victor for this upcoming tennis clash.